TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2
kalshi

Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q2

Volume:
$63,778

Above $216

 - Kalshi

Above $216 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 5:23 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $216

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,392
N/A
N/A
$12,442
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $219

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,421
N/A
N/A
$3,393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $222

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,131
N/A
N/A
$3,533
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $225

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,836
N/A
N/A
$2,126
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $234

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,408
N/A
N/A
$4,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $240

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,347
N/A
N/A
$7,236
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $231

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,124
N/A
N/A
$4,514
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $228

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,639
N/A
N/A
$5,915
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $237

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,480
N/A
N/A
$4,344
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Southwest Airlines will report an average passenger fare exceeding $225 in the second quarter of 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that Southwest reports above $225 average fare—stands at 97.0%. Resolution will be determined by Southwest Airlines Company's official Q2 2026 earnings report. Watch for Southwest's earnings announcement on or around August 21, 2026, which will provide the definitive average passenger fare figure for that quarter.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Southwest Airlines Company's reported average passenger fare in Q2 2026. The event establishes price thresholds ranging from $216 to $231, with each successive level indicating higher average fares and potentially stronger pricing power or demand conditions during the quarter.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Aug 21, 2026, following Southwest Airlines' official Q2 2026 earnings announcement. Resolution hinges on the company's reported average passenger fare (or unit revenue metric) for that quarter. Traders should monitor Southwest's quarterly earnings release and investor relations filings for the exact figure. The binary structure means the contract settles to either 100 or 0 based on whether the reported average fare exceeds the $231 threshold. Timing of the earnings call and any subsequent clarifications from management will determine final settlement.