TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Economics
South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?
polymarket

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

Volume:
$72,665

3.0–3.4%

 - Polymarket

3.0–3.4% - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 9:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

3.0–3.4%

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2.5–2.9%

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

2.0–2.4%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3.5–3.9%

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<2.0%

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4.0–4.4%

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5.0%+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4.5–4.9%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10 The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the South Korea GDP growth market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume on Polymarket. It shows how traders are pricing the likelihood of various annual GDP growth outcomes for South Korea in the third quarter of 2026. You can see current top-outcome chances and monitor volume of $8,586 to gauge market interest.

Right now, this market reflects trader sentiment that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While economists may publish their growth projections, the odds here capture market expectations influenced by real-time data, sentiment, and upcoming economic indicators. Comparing this market to polls or analyst reports can reveal whether traders are more optimistic or pessimistic about South Korea’s economic performance.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final GDP growth figure for South Korea’s third quarter of 2026 will be announced by the country’s official statistics agency, and that number determines which contracts pay out.

Key signals include South Korean government economic announcements, changes in consumer spending or industrial production data, trade figures, and global economic shifts that impact exports. Additionally, monetary policy decisions, geopolitical developments in the region, and revisions to previous quarterly GDP estimates could all shift trader expectations and move this market as Oct 28, 2026 approaches.