TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 8:48 PM EST
Kalshi
South Korea's year-over-year export growth for June 2026 will be tracked to determine if it reaches various growth thresholds ranging from moderate to substantial increases.
Each market resolves to Yes if South Korea's year-over-year export growth for June 2026 exceeds the specified threshold percentage. The thresholds range from above 50.0% through above 58.0% in 1.0 percentage point increments. Resolution is based on the official reported figure for June 2026 exports compared to June 2025.
Several catalysts could shift odds for South Korea's June export growth. Global trade dynamics—including tariff announcements, supply-chain disruptions, and demand from major trading partners like China and the US—directly impact Korean export volumes. Semiconductor and automotive sector performance are particularly influential, given their weight in South Korea's export basket. Currency movements, especially won-to-dollar fluctuations, affect competitiveness. Early June economic data, PMI readings, and forward guidance from Korean manufacturers can signal momentum. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or policy shifts in key markets may reshape trader expectations before the official June export figure is released.