TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks South Korea's year-over-year export performance for the month of August 2026. It examines whether the growth rate of exports surpasses various thresholds, reflecting the strength of the country's international trade during that specific month.
The event evaluates multiple sequential growth thresholds for South Korea's year-over-year exports in August 2026, each representing a progressively higher benchmark. All markets share the same underlying outcome — the actual export growth percentage for that month — but resolve differently depending on whether this figure exceeds one of the specified percentage levels ranging from 45.0% to 85.0%. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the reported growth rate surpasses its corresponding threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The structure allows participants to assess the likelihood of export growth meeting or exceeding any of these incremental targets, with higher thresholds representing more optimistic scenarios. All thresholds are evaluated against the same official data source at the same reporting time, ensuring consistent resolution across all markets.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will reflect official South Korean customs data for August exports compared to the same month a year earlier, closing the market once the figure is publicly released and confirmed.
Key signals include South Korean customs announcements, monthly trade balance reports, global commodity price shifts, and policy changes from major trading partners. Events such as geopolitical tensions, shipping disruptions, or unexpected changes in export demand can also move this market. Traders will watch economic calendars closely for any data releases that affect export volumes or trade flows before Sep 8, 2026.