TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner
polymarket

South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Volume:
$42,795

Mike Rounds

 - Polymarket

Mike Rounds - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mike Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Justin McNeal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kristi Noem

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person I

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person K

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person O

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
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N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Person F

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N/A
100¢
N/A
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Settled
No
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Person H

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100¢
N/A
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Settled
No
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Person J

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100¢
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Settled
No
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Person L

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100¢
N/A
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N/A
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N/A
Settled
No
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Person N

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will win the Republican primary nomination for U.S. Senator from South Dakota. On Polymarket, Mike Rounds holds 98.9% probability of securing the Republican nomination, while Justin McNeal stands at 0.6%. Resolution will be determined by the official announcement from the South Dakota Republican party or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Watch for the primary results on June 28, 2026, when South Dakota Republicans will cast their votes.

Frequently asked questions

The South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the leading Republican nominee candidate. The market displays current implied probability for the top outcome, along with $42,795 in total group volume across all related contracts. You can monitor live bid-ask spreads, view price history charts, and access 24-hour volume metrics to understand market sentiment and liquidity. This dashboard consolidates all prediction activity on Polymarket for this primary race, helping traders and observers gauge which candidate the market favors most.

The South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, following the official primary election date. Resolution is determined by the official Republican nominee selected through South Dakota's primary process. Traders should monitor state election authorities and major news outlets for the final certified results. The market will settle once the winner is officially declared, and all positions will be paid out according to the outcome. Until that date, prices remain subject to change based on campaign developments and market activity.

Key catalysts for price movement include candidate debate performances, major endorsements from state or national Republican figures, fundraising announcements, and media coverage of campaign momentum. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries would significantly shift odds. Polling releases showing shifts in voter preference often trigger immediate market repricing. Campaign gaffes, scandal developments, or shifts in national political dynamics could also influence trader sentiment. Ground-game reports, voter turnout predictions, and last-minute campaign spending surges in the final weeks before Jun 28, 2026 typically generate heightened trading activity and volatility on Polymarket.