TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which candidate will win the Republican primary nomination for U.S. Senator from South Dakota. On Polymarket, Mike Rounds holds 98.9% probability of securing the Republican nomination, while Justin McNeal stands at 0.6%. Resolution will be determined by the official announcement from the South Dakota Republican party or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Watch for the primary results on June 28, 2026, when South Dakota Republicans will cast their votes.
The South Dakota Republican Senate Primary Winner market resolves on Jun 28, 2026, following the official primary election date. Resolution is determined by the official Republican nominee selected through South Dakota's primary process. Traders should monitor state election authorities and major news outlets for the final certified results. The market will settle once the winner is officially declared, and all positions will be paid out according to the outcome. Until that date, prices remain subject to change based on campaign developments and market activity.
Key catalysts for price movement include candidate debate performances, major endorsements from state or national Republican figures, fundraising announcements, and media coverage of campaign momentum. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries would significantly shift odds. Polling releases showing shifts in voter preference often trigger immediate market repricing. Campaign gaffes, scandal developments, or shifts in national political dynamics could also influence trader sentiment. Ground-game reports, voter turnout predictions, and last-minute campaign spending surges in the final weeks before Jun 28, 2026 typically generate heightened trading activity and volatility on Polymarket.