TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.8b

24H VOL:

$198,054,468

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,818,096,072

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,851,647,753

460,044

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34,696

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2,795

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Kalshi:

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Elections
South Dakota Attorney General winner?
kalshi

South Dakota Attorney General winner?

Jul 3, 2025, 10:00 AM EST - Jan 3, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$77,728
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$15,163
0%

Republican party

 - Kalshi

Republican party - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 3, 2027

Will the Republican party win the Attorney General race in South Dakota?

98%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98.2¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 10% 69 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Republican party

Trade
98%
Yes 98.2¢No 1.9¢
0.1¢
N/A
$57,512
0%
0.01%
$7,628
2mo 1w 2d
active
kalshi

Democratic party

2%
Yes 1.7¢No 98.4¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,217
0%
0.05%
$7,535
2mo 1w 2d
active
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether South Dakota's next Attorney General, taking office in 2027, will be from the Republican or Democratic party. On Kalshi, the Republican party winning stands at 95.1%, while the Democratic party winning is at 10%. Resolution will be determined by which party's representative is sworn in as Attorney General of South Dakota for the term beginning in 2027, according to official state records. Watch for the outcome of South Dakota's 2026 Attorney General election, which will determine who takes the oath of office on January 3, 2027.

Kalshi

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as the Attorney General of South Dakota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as the Attorney General of South Dakota for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls aim to capture a snapshot of current voter intentions, this market aggregates the informed opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like differing methodologies, sample biases in polls, and the ability of market participants to incorporate a wider range of information, including fundraising data, candidate performance, and expert analysis, into their predictions. It's common to see this market adjust more quickly to new information than polls.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the South Dakota Attorney General race. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share of the potential payout if their predicted outcome occurs.

This market resolves around Jan 3, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the South Dakota Attorney General election is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results certified by the South Dakota Secretary of State. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor news sources and official election results as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant fundraising announcements, unexpected controversies involving candidates, and shifts in polling data could all impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, debates, campaign rallies, and media coverage can influence perceptions of candidate viability. Any event that alters the perceived likelihood of a particular outcome in the South Dakota Attorney General race has the potential to cause price fluctuations in this market.