TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.7b

24H VOL:

$218,241,273

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,818,096,072

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,870,524,207

458,974

Markets across

34,559

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,770

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Prešov Mayoral Election Winner
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Prešov Mayoral?

Total volume:
$33,579
Volume 24h:
$3,752
847%
Liquidity:
$79,985
133%
Open interest:
$2,799
3%

František Oľha

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 15, 2026

Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

František Oľha

Trade
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$15,247
$10,575
17%
31%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

František Oľha

Trade
12%
80%
Yes 97¢No 88¢
85¢
N/A
$2,408
10%
191%
$1,212
1mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
83.6%
Yes 98.5¢No 44.1¢
Avg: 42.6¢Max: 85¢
kalshi

Rastislav Mochnacký

Trade
41%
34%
Yes 41¢No 100¢
41¢
N/A
$3,307
5%
28%
$1,557
1mo 2w 6d
active
polymarket

Rastislav Mochnacký

Trade
0%
7%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
—
$16,054
$15,106
6%
10%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7.6%
Yes 20.8¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 41¢Max: 41¢
kalshi

Pavel Hagyari

Trade
5%
Yes 83¢No 100¢
83¢
N/A
$30
0%
N/A
$30
1mo 2w 6d
active
polymarket

Pavel Hagyari

Trade
0%
6%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$16,475
$1,121
105%
236%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 41.6¢No 100¢
Avg: 83¢Max: 83¢
polymarket

Artúr Benes

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$16,159
$559
73%
202%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Artúr Benes

Trade
N/A
N/A
90¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 90¢Max: 90¢
polymarket

Martin Eštočák

Trade
0%
1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$16,050
$473
26%
90%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
kalshi

Martin Eštočák

Trade
N/A
N/A
83¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.1%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
Avg: 83¢Max: 83¢
polymarket

Person A

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person B

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person C

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person D

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person E

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person F

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person G

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person H

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person I

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person J

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person K

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person L

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person M

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person N

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Person O

Trade
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
Total markets: 25 of 38

Description

This group forecasts the winner of the 2026 Prešov mayoral election in Slovakia. The election is scheduled for October 24, 2026, and markets will resolve based on official results from government sources.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same criteria: the official winner of the 2026 Prešov mayoral election.Primary resolution logic: Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election.
  • Official results from government sources, particularly the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic, will be used for resolution.
  • Temporary or interim mayors do not count for resolution purposes.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Winner by Deadline: If a winner is not determined by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 'Other'.
  • Ambiguous Results: In the event of ambiguous results, the market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources.
Timing: The market will resolve after the official results of the 2026 Prešov mayoral election are published, but no later than March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 2026 Prešov mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Prešov as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Prešov, Prešov Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).

Kalshi

This market resolves to Yes if any listed candidate wins the 2026 Prešov mayoral election. Each candidate-specific rule establishes an independent condition for a Yes outcome, and the market may be accelerated to resolution through a consensus of media calls declaring the winner.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the Prešov mayoral election by aggregating predictions from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of who is likely to win, based on combined volume of $33,579 and 24-hour volume of $3,752. The dashboard displays the probabilities implied by the trading activity on each platform, allowing users to see where the smart money is flowing. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Rastislav Mochnacký win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? at 41.0%.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what people are willing to *bet* on, which can be a more accurate signal of actual outcomes. Polling data can be influenced by biases or strategic responses, whereas the financial incentive in a prediction market encourages participants to express their genuine beliefs. It's important to consider both sources of information when assessing the likely result of the Prešov mayoral election, as they provide complementary insights.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different risk appetites and information access among traders on each platform also contribute to price discrepancies. For example, if a particular news event is more widely known or believed by traders on Polymarket, it might be reflected more quickly in the prices there. These differences are normal and can create opportunities for arbitrage, ultimately contributing to a more efficient market overall.

This market resolves around Dec 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Prešov mayoral election, as officially declared by the relevant electoral authorities, will determine the outcome. The resolution will be based on the official results released by the governing body responsible for overseeing the election. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, independent of any individual opinion or interpretation.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements from influential political figures, unexpected scandals involving candidates, or shifts in public opinion revealed by late-stage polling could all cause price movements. Significant economic news affecting the Prešov region or broader Slovakian political developments could also play a role. Any event that alters the perceived likelihood of each candidate's success has the potential to shift the odds and trading volume in this market, leading to changes in the implied probabilities.