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South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner
polymarket

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

Volume:
$628,043

Darline Graham Nordone

 - Polymarket

Darline Graham Nordone - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 5:15 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Darline Graham Nordone

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$542,346
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ralph Norman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,610
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Russell Fry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mark Sanford

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Duke Buckner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sheri Biggs

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mark Lynch

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Henry McMaster

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trey Gowdy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$431
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pamela Evette

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Intro

This market tracks whether Darline Graham Nordone will win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary on Polymarket, with a current probability of 99.6%, while Ralph Norman stands at 0.4%. The resolution source is official results from the State of South Carolina, specifically the South Carolina Election Commission. The key catalyst to watch will be the voting results on August 11, 2026, which will determine the first round winner.

Polymarket

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the South Carolina Senate primary race, along with 24-hour volume of $8,386. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the chances of each candidate winning the first round of the Republican primary, updated continuously throughout the campaign period.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the primary election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first round — whether by outright majority or by advancing to a runoff — will determine the settlement, based on official and widely accepted news sources at that time.

Key debates, endorsements, polling shifts, and any controversies involving the candidates can all move this market. Strong debate performances or surprising poll drops may cause rapid repricing, especially as voters begin casting ballots. Fundraising disclosures and local media coverage also influence trader sentiment in the closing weeks before Aug 11, 2026.