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South Carolina Senate Republican special primary: who will advance?
kalshi

South Carolina Senate Republican special primary: who will advance?

Volume:
$121,550

Darline Graham

 - Kalshi

Darline Graham - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 8:17 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Darline Graham

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,657
N/A
N/A
$20,415
1y 10mo 2w
Yes
kalshi

Ralph Norman

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,132
N/A
N/A
$5,496
1y 10mo 2w
Yes
kalshi

Mark Sanford

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,893
N/A
N/A
$29,632
1y 10mo 2w
No
kalshi

Russell Fry

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,869
N/A
N/A
$16,976
1y 10mo 2w
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks which candidates will qualify for the runoff election in the 2026 South Carolina Senate Republican special primary. The focus is on whether each listed candidate meets the necessary criteria to advance to the runoff stage following the initial voting round. The outcome depends solely on official announcements regarding runoff qualification.

Kalshi

The event determines whether each listed candidate qualifies for the runoff in the 2026 South Carolina Senate Republican special primary. Qualification is assessed at the time of the official announcement; any subsequent changes in status, such as withdrawals or disqualifications, do not alter the outcome. If a candidate wins the first round outright—resulting in no runoff—all markets for that winning candidate resolve to Yes, while all others resolve to No. Each candidate’s market resolves to Yes only if they are officially announced as having qualified for the runoff, with immediate resolution to No if they are announced as not qualifying.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the South Carolina Senate primary race tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $98,507. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning themselves ahead of the special primary election. The interface updates continuously, reflecting shifts in market sentiment and trading activity as the race develops.

This market often mirrors analyst forecasts but can diverge based on trader sentiment and late-breaking news. While political analysts may highlight different strengths among candidates, the odds here reflect aggregated trader expectations. Close matches or mismatches between this market and expert polls can signal emerging trends or unexpected momentum shifts among contenders.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2028, with the outcome confirmed once the election results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on who officially advances from the South Carolina Senate primary race, as reported through authoritative news outlets and election authorities. No further interpretation beyond confirmed results is needed.