TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 14, 5:11 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of a specific candidate in an upcoming primary election, focusing on whether they meet various vote percentage thresholds. It reflects the competitive landscape and voter support dynamics within the party's primary process. The outcome depends entirely on officially certified election results.
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the certified percentage of votes Russell Fry receives in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, compared against specific thresholds ranging from 10% to 45%. The percentage is calculated by dividing Fry's total valid votes by the total number of valid votes cast, multiplying by 100, and rounding to the specified decimal places. Only certified, official results count—preliminary figures, write-in votes (if certified), and invalid/spoiled ballots (excluded from both numerator and denominator) do not affect resolution. If the election is canceled, postponed beyond the market expiration date, or no certified results are available by expiration, all markets resolve as No. Additionally, if a recount alters the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified figure determines the outcome. Markets with different thresholds (e.g., 10%, 15%, etc.) will resolve independently according to their respective ranges.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, the current odds reflect trader expectations for the South Carolina Senate primary race. While polling averages offer another view of voter sentiment, this market’s price incorporates additional variables such as campaign dynamics and trader risk assessments. Differences between the two can arise from the market’s real-money stakes, which may incentivize more nuanced betting strategies compared to poll-based projections.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official election results are verified against credible public sources. The final vote percentage will be determined by the certified tallies from the state election authorities, ensuring an accurate reflection of the first-round voting in the South Carolina Senate primary race.
Key events such as candidate debates, endorsements, advertising campaigns, and any shifts in voter sentiment could influence this market. Economic announcements, scandals, or changes in campaign strategies may also cause price movements. As the election approaches, updated polling data and insider reports often lead traders to adjust their positions, impacting the market’s odds ahead of the final resolution.
