TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
At least 30%
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At least 30% - Kalshi
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Vol.
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Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 14, 5:07 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
Darline Graham Nordone is a candidate in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary election. These markets track what percentage of the vote she receives in the first round of voting, with separate markets for different vote-share thresholds.
Kalshi
Resolution is based on the certified percentage of popular votes received by Darline Graham Nordone in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the candidate ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100. Each market resolves to Yes if the certified percentage meets or exceeds its specified threshold (20%, 25%, 30%, 35%, 40%, 45%, 50%, 60%, or 70%), and No otherwise. Resolution uses only certified official results, not preliminary counts. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results; invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond market expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, all markets resolve to No. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage determines resolution.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for Darline Graham Nordone's vote percentage through continuous trading. The current implied chance reflects the collective assessment of all participants, adjusted for new information as it emerges. Market depth and liquidity, represented by a volume of $102,471, allow for efficient price discovery. Traders may react swiftly to news such as candidate endorsements or polling updates, causing price shifts that differ from broader polling trends.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the vote count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final percentage of votes Darline Graham Nordone receives in the first round will determine the result, based on official election results reported after the polls close.
Several key developments could influence this market before Aug 11, 2027. Upcoming debates, major endorsements, and shifts in voter registration numbers often cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment. Surprise events such as gaffes, policy announcements, or changes in campaign strategy can also dramatically alter expectations. As the primary date approaches, localized polling data and media coverage from South Carolina will likely drive most of the volatility, with traders reacting in real time to any information that suggests a changing electoral landscape.
