TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Darline Graham
- Kalshi
Darline Graham - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 14, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 14, 5:06 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether Darline Graham will secure the top spot in the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary. On Kalshi, the current probability that she finishes in first place stands at 88%. The resolution will be based on the certified election results. The outcome will be determined following the primary election, scheduled for August 11, 2027, so keep an eye on that date for the final vote count and official certification.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the certified results of the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary held on August 11, 2026. If any of the four listed candidates—Darline Graham, Ralph Norman, Russell Fry, or Mark Sanford—finish in first place according to these official results, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. The outcome is determined solely by who achieves the highest vote count in this initial round, with no runoff or subsequent rounds considered for resolution. All markets share the same event-level conditions and depend entirely on the certified first-place finisher from among the specified candidates.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks based on their expectations for the outcome. The current implied probability reflects the best available bid and ask prices, adjusted for supply and demand. Volume of $1,585,287 indicates the level of interest and liquidity among participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official election results, matching the first-place finisher in the initial round of voting, and will be settled automatically based on publicly available data without manual intervention.
Key debates, endorsements, polling shifts, fundraising announcements, and any major news about the candidates can significantly move this market. Unexpected events such as scandals, strategic withdrawals, or changes in voter registration rules may also cause rapid adjustments in odds as traders reassess the likelihood of each candidate winning the South Carolina Senate primary race.
