TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Resolved Jun 16, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Jun 16, 10:19 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
Multiple candidates will compete in the first round of South Carolina's 2026 Republican gubernatorial primary, with outcomes determined by which candidate finishes in first place according to certified results.
Kalshi
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For plurality voting, rank is based on vote count or percentage. For ranked choice voting, rank is determined by elimination order, with the runner-up eliminated in the final round for second place. For two-round systems, rank is based on final round results if the election proceeds to a second round; otherwise, first-round totals determine ranking. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving first place resolve all named candidate markets to No unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to No.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the South Carolina Republican Governor primary 1st place market is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the probability each candidate finishes first in the opening round. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the market's implied probability. As new information emerges—campaign announcements, debate performances, or shifts in endorsements—traders adjust positions, moving the price and updating the consensus forecast for who will lead after the first round of voting.
The market resolves on Jun 9, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official result of the South Carolina Republican Governor primary's first round, identifying which candidate receives the most votes in that initial voting phase. The outcome is settled based on authoritative election results reported by South Carolina election officials and major news organizations. Traders holding shares in the winning candidate's contract receive the full payout, while other positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include major candidate endorsements, debate performances, campaign finance disclosures, and shifts in voter sentiment captured by new polls. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries can reshape the race dynamics. Media coverage of gaffes, policy announcements, or personal controversies may swing trader sentiment. Ground-game developments, early voting data, and turnout indicators closer to election day typically drive significant price movements. National political events or shifts in the broader Republican primary landscape could also influence South Carolina market odds as traders reassess viability and momentum.
