TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Alan Wilson
- Kalshi
Alan Wilson - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 23, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Jun 23, 7:28 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Alan Wilson will secure the Republican Party's nomination for South Carolina Governor in the 2026 election. Alan Wilson is priced at 95.2%, while Pamela Evette stands at 3.9%. The market resolves according to the official Republican Party nomination outcome for the 2026 South Carolina Governorship. Watch the state Republican primary process and candidate announcements leading up to the November 3, 2026 general election date, which will determine the final nominee.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes for whichever candidate wins the Republican Party nomination to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship. Each of the specified candidates—Josh Kimbrell, Nancy Mace, Ralph Norman, Alan Wilson, Pamela Evette, and Rom Reddy—represents a potential nominee. Resolution occurs upon confirmation that one of these individuals has secured the Republican nomination for the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial race.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional polling averages because markets incorporate real-money incentives and forward-looking expectations. While polls measure current voter preference snapshots, prediction markets reflect traders' beliefs about the actual nomination outcome. Markets may price in factors polls miss, such as fundraising momentum, delegate dynamics, or late-breaking campaign shifts. Comparing Kalshi odds to major polling aggregators reveals whether the market is more bullish or bearish on specific candidates than the polling consensus, helping observers identify potential market inefficiencies or early signals of shifting sentiment.
The South Carolina Republican Governor nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026, aligning with the official conclusion of the Republican nomination process. Resolution is determined by which candidate officially becomes the Republican Party's nominee for Governor of South Carolina in the 2026 election cycle. Market participants should monitor state party announcements, primary election results, and any convention or delegate-allocation procedures that finalize the nomination. Traders holding positions through resolution will see their contracts settled based on the verified nominee outcome.
Key catalysts for price movement include primary election results, candidate endorsements from state and national Republican leaders, campaign funding announcements, and debate performances. Polling releases showing shifts in voter preference can trigger significant repricing. Candidate withdrawals or entry into the race will instantly reshape odds. Media coverage of scandals, policy positions, or electability concerns may sway trader sentiment. Turnout patterns in early contests and momentum from neighboring states can signal broader nomination trajectory. Late-breaking developments in state politics or national Republican dynamics may also influence market expectations about which candidate has the strongest path to the nomination.
