TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$143,246,370

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,403,290,006

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,452,035,386

405,032

Markets across

30,543

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,690

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Elections
South Carolina Republican Attorney General nominee?
kalshi

South Carolina Republican Attorney General nominee?

Volume:
$8,348

David Stumbo

 - Kalshi

David Stumbo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 24, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 8:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

David Stumbo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,323
N/A
N/A
$2,737
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Stephen Goldfinch

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,025
N/A
N/A
$4,521
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 2

Description

A candidate wins the Republican Party nomination for the South Carolina Attorney General election in 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Stephen Goldfinch or David Stumbo wins the Republican Party nomination for the 2026 South Carolina Attorney General election. Resolution is based on the official primary election results determining the Republican nominee, with accelerated determination eligible after media organizations reach consensus on the winner.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and polling data because markets incorporate real-money incentives and continuous price discovery. While political analysts may rely on historical patterns and limited surveys, prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many traders betting their capital. For the South Carolina Republican Attorney General race, comparing Kalshi odds to published analyst ratings and expert commentary can reveal where the market sees opportunity or disagreement. Markets typically react faster to breaking news than formal forecasts update.

On Kalshi, the South Carolina Republican Attorney General nominee market is priced as a set of binary contracts, each representing a specific candidate or outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the implied probability of that nominee winning the Republican nomination. As new developments occur—campaign announcements, endorsements, or primary results—the contract prices adjust in real time. The most likely nominee typically trades at the highest price, while longer-shot candidates trade lower.

Several catalysts could shift odds for the South Carolina Republican Attorney General nominee. Major events include candidate announcements or withdrawals, endorsements from prominent state Republicans, primary debate performances, and fundraising reports. Polling data releases, media coverage of candidate records, and developments in related South Carolina political races may also influence trader sentiment. Changes in national Republican politics or shifts in voter priorities could reshape the race dynamics. Unexpected scandals or gaffes involving frontrunners could trigger sharp repricing. Monitor state political news and candidate social media for real-time signals.