TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which candidate will win the Republican primary election for South Carolina governor. Alan Wilson, the leading contender, is priced at 77.2% on Polymarket. The market will resolve based on the official results announced by the South Carolina Republican Party, with consideration given to any potential runoff or second round of voting. Watch for the primary election results on June 9, 2026, when South Carolina Republicans will select their gubernatorial nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional polling averages because traders incorporate real-time information, campaign momentum, and fundraising data that polls may lag in capturing. While polls measure voter sentiment at a single point in time, prediction markets reflect the collective belief of participants who have financial incentive to forecast accurately. For the South Carolina Republican primary, market prices may shift rapidly in response to endorsements, debate performances, or candidate announcements, whereas polling averages update less frequently. Comparing the two reveals whether markets are pricing in expectations beyond current voter preference surveys.
The South Carolina Governor Republican Primary prediction market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, following the official primary election date. Resolution is determined by the candidate who receives the most votes and wins the Republican primary contest in South Carolina. The market will settle once official results are certified by state election authorities. Traders holding contracts for the winning candidate receive the full payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution process ensures that market outcomes align with the actual electoral result.
Key catalysts that could shift market odds include candidate endorsements from prominent state or national figures, debate performances, campaign spending announcements, and shifts in voter preference revealed through new polling. Scandals, gaffes, or major policy announcements by candidates can trigger rapid repricing. Changes in candidate viability, such as withdrawals or entries into the race, directly impact contract values. Media coverage, grassroots momentum, and turnout expectations also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, broader national political developments or shifts in Republican primary dynamics elsewhere may affect perceptions of South Carolina candidates' chances heading toward the Jun 9, 2026 primary election.