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$1,434,646,834

406,019

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30,401

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2,689

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5

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South Africa retail sales in June
kalshi

What is the change in South Africa retail sales in June?

Volume:
$1,746

Above -0.4%

 - Kalshi

Above -0.4% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 6:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above -0.4%

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,253
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.0%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$424
N/A
N/A
$167
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.4%

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Above -0.6%

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
$9
Settled
No
kalshi

Above -0.2%

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.2%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.6%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.8%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.0%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.2%

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks the performance of South Africa's retail sector during June 2026. It measures the month-over-month change in retail sales, reflecting consumer spending trends and economic health. Higher sales indicate stronger consumer confidence and economic growth.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the month-over-month percentage change in South Africa's retail sales for June 2026. Multiple markets exist with escalating threshold values, each resolving to 'Yes' if the reported sales figure exceeds its specific threshold. Thresholds range from -0.6% to 1.2%, meaning any positive or sufficiently small negative growth will satisfy at least one market. The final outcome for each market depends solely on whether the actual sales figure meets or exceeds its respective threshold, with higher thresholds representing more robust retail performance.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the South Africa retail sales market. It shows how traders are positioning around the expected performance of South African consumer spending in June, with real-time updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The interface provides a clear view of market dynamics, including total volume of $1,746 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,168, allowing users to monitor fluctuations as new economic data emerges.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will rely on official South African government statistics and reputable economic data sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including key economic announcements such as consumer confidence reports, changes in interest rates by the South African Reserve Bank, and major retail sector developments. Unexpected political events, global commodity price shifts, or sudden changes in consumer spending behavior may also influence trader sentiment. Any revision to past retail sales figures or forward-looking forecasts from major financial institutions could cause rapid repricing in the market as participants adjust their expectations.