TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Economics
South Africa inflation rate MoM for July
kalshi

What is South Africa's inflation rate MoM for July?

Volume:
$7,835

Above 0.6%

 - Kalshi

Above 0.6% - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 3:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0.6%

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,141
N/A
N/A
$1,406
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.2%

0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,684
N/A
N/A
$1,284
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.8%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,541
N/A
N/A
$523
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 0.4%

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$823
N/A
N/A
$597
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.0%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.8%

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.2%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.4%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 1.6%

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks the monthly change in South Africa's consumer price index for July 2026, reflecting how quickly prices are rising or falling over that month. It helps gauge short-term economic pressures and policy challenges facing the country. The outcome depends on whether the inflation rate exceeds specific thresholds.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the South Africa inflation rate measured on a month-over-month basis for July 2026. Multiple markets exist with escalating threshold requirements, each resolving to 'Yes' if the reported inflation rate exceeds its respective threshold. The thresholds range incrementally from 0.2% to 1.8%. The final market outcome is determined by comparing the officially published inflation rate for that period against these thresholds, with the highest threshold met dictating the resolution across all related markets.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market’s implied probability reflects a slightly different view than many analyst forecasts. While economists’ projections provide one benchmark, traders on Kalshi incorporate real-time economic data, sentiment shifts, and policy expectations. That divergence can create opportunities where market odds price in a tighter or wider range than consensus estimates suggest.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official South African statistics are published and verified against credible public sources. The final inflation figure, reported as the percentage change in the consumer price index month-over-month for July, will settle all positions based on that verified number.