TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, Solana Up or Down on June 7 is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each direction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price of each outcome reflects the cumulative bets placed, with higher prices indicating stronger conviction. Traders profit if their chosen direction (up or down) occurs by the resolution date. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously as volume flows in. The spread between up and down prices narrows or widens based on new information and trader positioning.
The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by Solana's closing price on that date. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution timing is fixed, so all trading must conclude before the market closes. The binary structure means only one outcome can occur: either SOL closes higher than its opening price on June 7, or it closes lower. This clear, objective criterion ensures transparent settlement.
Solana's price direction by June 7 could be influenced by network upgrades, validator performance announcements, or changes in developer activity on the chain. Macro crypto sentiment—driven by Bitcoin and Ethereum moves, regulatory news, or Fed policy shifts—often correlates with SOL trading. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and staking changes may signal user confidence. Ecosystem news, such as major dApp launches or partnerships, can spark bullish momentum. Market-wide risk-off events or liquidation cascades could trigger downside. Traders monitor these catalysts to adjust their odds and position sizing ahead of resolution.