TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT Jun 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's price direction on June 3, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets embed longer-term sentiment and tail-risk pricing. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus forecasts may signal mispricing or hidden information.
On Polymarket, Solana Up or Down on June 3 is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: Solana closes up or Solana closes down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current market probability reflects the collective trading activity and order-book depth. Prices adjust in real time as new information emerges, and the final settlement depends on Solana's closing price on the specified date relative to the opening reference level.
The Solana Up or Down on June 3 market resolves on Jun 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Solana's price at market close on that date to the opening reference price established at market creation. The outcome is binary: if SOL closes higher, the Up outcome wins; if it closes lower, the Down outcome wins. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact reference price and time window are specified in the market terms.
Several catalysts could influence Solana's price direction by June 3. Blockchain network upgrades, validator performance reports, and ecosystem developments often drive SOL momentum. Broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin price action, and macroeconomic data releases can create volatility. Regulatory announcements affecting Solana or the wider industry may trigger sharp moves. Developer activity, TVL changes on Solana dApps, and institutional adoption news also matter. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, competing layer-1 performance, and any protocol governance decisions that could shift market confidence.