TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Solana's directional movement, which often diverges from spot price alone. While spot price shows current SOL value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macro crypto conditions through May 31. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Traders use this gap to identify potential mispricings relative to fundamental expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy YES or NO shares corresponding to each outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Higher YES prices indicate stronger conviction that Solana will trade up by May 31 at 6PM ET, while higher NO prices signal bearish positioning.
The Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Solana's price at the specified resolution moment against the reference price established at market creation. The binary structure means one outcome will be deemed correct and the other incorrect, settling all open positions accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6PM ET before resolution. Major Bitcoin or Ethereum price moves often drag SOL directionally. Solana ecosystem announcements, validator network updates, or developer activity can spark bullish sentiment. Regulatory news affecting crypto broadly, Federal Reserve policy shifts, or macroeconomic data may trigger volatility. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and active addresses also influence trader positioning. Technical levels and options expiry dates can create short-term momentum shifts in either direction.