TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Solana's direction by May 31, 2026, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets embed longer-term sentiment and tail-risk pricing. Analysts and on-chain metrics sometimes diverge from market odds because prediction traders factor in volatility, macro events, and regulatory risk over the full time horizon. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to conventional expectations.
On Polymarket, Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective belief of Polymarket participants about which direction Solana will move by the resolution time. Share prices range from 0 to 1, with the sum of both outcomes equaling 1. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions. As new information emerges or market sentiment shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing traders to profit from accurate predictions or hedge directional exposure.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined based on Solana's price movement relative to the specified parameters. Resolution occurs after the official snapshot time, and the winning outcome is locked in once the data is confirmed. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are defined in the market rules on Polymarket. Ensure you understand the precise measurement methodology before trading, as even small differences in timing or price feed can affect the final result.
Several catalysts could influence Solana's price direction by May 31, 2026. Major network upgrades, validator performance issues, or security incidents could trigger downside pressure. Positive developments such as institutional adoption, ecosystem partnerships, or regulatory clarity might drive upside momentum. Broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin correlation, and macroeconomic events also play a significant role. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity can signal network health. Additionally, competing blockchain announcements, DeFi yield opportunities, and changes in risk appetite across digital assets may shift trader positioning on Polymarket leading up to resolution.