TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET

Volume:
$1,940

Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 5:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
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polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,940
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective belief about Solana's direction by May 31, 4AM ET, often diverging from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate technical and sentiment shifts, prediction markets incorporate longer-term expectations and event risk. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus analyst views may signal contrarian opportunity or market inefficiency.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, with shares trading between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents). Liquidity and order-book depth determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions. As the May 31, 4AM ET deadline approaches, prices typically tighten around the true probability, and volatility may spike if new information emerges about Solana's technical or fundamental outlook.

Several catalysts could shift Solana's price direction before May 31, 4AM ET. Major blockchain upgrades, validator network changes, or ecosystem announcements can drive bullish momentum. Conversely, regulatory news, security incidents, or broader crypto market downturns could pressure the price lower. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and Bitcoin price action also influence altcoin sentiment. On-chain metrics like active addresses and transaction volume, plus institutional adoption news, may signal conviction among traders. Monitoring these signals helps predict which way prediction market odds will swing.