TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus about Solana's price movement by May 31, 2026, which often diverges from spot price momentum alone. While spot prices react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment and tail-risk hedging. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to mainstream expectations. Traders use this gap to identify potential mispricings or confirm conviction in their directional view.
The Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Solana's price movement relative to the specified threshold and direction. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. The exact resolution criteria and data source are defined in the market's terms, ensuring a clear and objective settlement. This fixed end date gives traders a defined time horizon for their position.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET before May 31, 2026. Major developments include Solana network upgrades, validator performance changes, or ecosystem announcements that affect developer confidence. Macro crypto sentiment—driven by Bitcoin moves, Federal Reserve policy, or regulatory news—often ripples through altcoins like Solana. Technical breakouts or breakdowns at key price levels can trigger algorithmic trading and retail FOMO. Additionally, competing Layer 1 narratives, exchange listings, or venture funding rounds in the Solana ecosystem may influence trader positioning and market odds.