TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Solana's price direction by May 31, 10AM ET, but they may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term directional bets over a fixed timeframe. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than the broader market consensus. This divergence often signals where informed traders see value relative to conventional price expectations.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's collective probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, prices adjust in real time based on supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger conviction that Solana will move in that direction by the resolution time, while lower prices suggest lower probability. Liquidity on the order book determines how easily you can enter or exit positions at any given moment.
Several catalysts could influence Solana's price direction by May 31, 10AM ET. Major network upgrades, changes in developer activity, or shifts in institutional adoption could drive bullish sentiment. Conversely, regulatory announcements, security incidents, or broader crypto market downturns could pressure the price lower. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and Bitcoin price movements often correlate with Solana's direction. On-chain metrics like staking activity and transaction volume may also signal trader confidence. Monitoring these factors alongside prediction market odds can help you assess whether current prices reflect all available information or if new developments could shift the outcome.