TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Solana's price movement by May 30, 9PM ET, often diverging from current spot price momentum. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets embed longer-term sentiment and incorporate catalysts traders expect over the next several months. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus analyst forecasts may signal either market inefficiency or information asymmetry worth investigating.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome with two sides: up and down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome, with the contract price reflecting the implied probability. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously based on order flow and liquidity. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, allowing more efficient entry and exit for traders. Real-time pricing lets you execute positions at transparent, market-determined rates.
The Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET market resolves on May 31, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Solana's price at the specified deadline against the reference price established at market creation. The binary structure means one outcome will be deemed correct and the other incorrect, triggering settlement of all positions. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution timing is strict and tied to the exact moment specified in the event name.
Several catalysts could shift Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET odds over the coming months. Major network upgrades, validator performance announcements, or changes to Solana's technical roadmap often trigger bullish repricing. Regulatory clarity or restrictions on crypto trading in key jurisdictions can swing sentiment sharply. Macroeconomic shifts, Federal Reserve policy changes, and Bitcoin price movements typically influence altcoin direction. Developer activity, ecosystem partnerships, and competing Layer 1 announcements also matter. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and active addresses provide real-time signals traders monitor closely before the May 30 deadline.