TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket represent trader consensus on Solana's directional move by May 30, 7PM ET, and often diverge from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets reflect immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in forward-looking expectations over the full event window. Comparing Polymarket odds to traditional analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing in more bullish or bearish outcomes than the broader crypto community expects. This comparison helps identify potential mispricings or consensus shifts.
On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy shares representing either the "Up" or "Down" outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective belief of Polymarket participants, with each outcome's probability derived from the ratio of shares traded. Prices move continuously as new orders flow in, and you can enter or exit positions at any time before the May 30, 7PM ET resolution window closes. The market's depth and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily you can trade without significant slippage.
The market resolves on May 31, 2026, marking the official settlement date after the May 30, 7PM ET event window. Resolution is determined by Solana's closing price at the specified time relative to its opening price on that day. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are documented in the market's terms, ensuring transparent and objective settlement. Monitoring Solana's price action as the event window approaches is essential for managing your position.
Solana's price direction by May 30, 7PM ET could be influenced by major crypto market movements, regulatory announcements affecting blockchain networks, Solana ecosystem developments, or shifts in broader risk sentiment. Macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, or Bitcoin volatility often cascade into altcoin markets. Technical levels and support or resistance zones on Solana's chart may also trigger algorithmic trading or retail positioning changes. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and social sentiment around Solana can provide early signals of directional bias before the resolution window closes.