TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET

Volume:
$1,306

Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 5AM ET on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance, with the outcome decided by whether the hourly close exceeds the open at the specified timestamp on May 30, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader sentiment about Solana's directional move, which may differ from spot price forecasts by traditional analysts or on-chain metrics. While spot price expectations rely on technical analysis, fundamental research, or sentiment surveys, prediction markets aggregate real money bets, creating a financial incentive for accuracy. The Polymarket odds represent a crowd-sourced probability that incorporates diverse viewpoints and risk appetite. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish conviction than consensus analyst views.

On Polymarket, Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side; higher demand for one outcome raises its price and implied probability. Prices move continuously as new orders flow in, and traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes. The spread between bid and ask prices narrows or widens based on liquidity and conviction, allowing you to gauge how contested the outcome truly is.

The Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET market resolves on May 30, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether SOL has moved up or down relative to the specified reference point at 5AM ET on May 30. Once the resolution criteria are met, the market settles and winning shares are redeemed at full value while losing shares expire worthless. Traders should monitor the exact resolution timestamp and any official clarifications from Polymarket to ensure they understand how the outcome will be measured.

Several catalysts could influence Solana's price direction into May 30. Regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, Solana ecosystem developments, or major network upgrades could shift sentiment. Macro events such as Federal Reserve policy shifts, Bitcoin or Ethereum price moves, or broader risk-on/risk-off sentiment in equities often drag altcoins along. On-chain metrics like validator activity or TVL changes, as well as competing layer-one announcements, may also matter. Trader positioning and liquidation cascades on leverage platforms can amplify moves, so watch order book depth and funding rates on spot and derivatives exchanges.