TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 2PM ET on May 30, 2026. Currently on Polymarket, the leading outcome holds 50.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance for that specific hourly candle, with the outcome decided by whether the close price meets or exceeds the open price at the May 30, 2PM ET timestamp.
On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either Solana Up or Solana Down by May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of capital allocated to each outcome. Prices move continuously as new orders flow in; higher demand for one side pushes its price up and the opposing side down. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how efficiently prices adjust to new information about Solana's expected price direction.
The market resolves at May 30, 2026, marking the official settlement time for this Solana price direction event. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Solana's price at the specified time against the reference level established at market creation. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all open positions are settled according to the verified price data at the resolution timestamp.
Key catalysts for Solana's price direction include major network upgrades, validator performance announcements, and ecosystem partnerships. Broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin price movements, and macroeconomic shifts also influence Solana's trajectory. Regulatory news affecting Solana or the crypto sector, changes in developer activity, and updates on competing Layer-1 blockchains can shift trader expectations. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and large liquidation events may trigger sharp moves. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer commits, and institutional adoption signals helps traders anticipate directional shifts before May 30, 2026.