TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning May 30, 1AM ET. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance for the specified hourly candle. Watch the market closely as the May 30, 1AM ET candle open approaches, as the initial price movement in the first minutes of that period will be critical to the final settlement.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' aggregated bets on Solana's direction, which often diverge from spot price momentum alone. While spot markets react to immediate price action and technical levels, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment, regulatory news, and macro crypto conditions. Analysts and on-chain metrics may suggest different probabilities than Polymarket's current odds, especially if breaking news or ecosystem developments emerge. Comparing Polymarket's implied probability to independent price forecasts and analyst commentary helps you identify whether the market is pricing in known catalysts or underweighting emerging risks.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET market is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the collective willingness of Polymarket participants to bet on Solana moving up versus down by May 30, 2026. Share prices range from 0 to 1, with the sum of both outcomes equaling 1. As traders enter or exit positions, prices shift to balance supply and demand. Volume and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit your position at fair prices near the current odds.
The Solana Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET market resolves at May 30, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether Solana's price has moved up or down from its reference level at the specified time. Resolution depends on the exact criteria encoded in the market's terms, which typically reference a specific price feed or exchange snapshot. Once the resolution timestamp passes, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on which outcome occurred. Check the market's full terms on Polymarket for precise settlement mechanics and any tie-breaking rules.
Several catalysts could shift Solana's price direction before May 30, 2026. Major network upgrades, validator performance issues, or ecosystem announcements directly impact SOL sentiment. Macro crypto events—Bitcoin volatility, regulatory news, or shifts in risk appetite—often drag altcoins including Solana along. On-chain metrics like active addresses, transaction volume, and developer activity can signal strength or weakness. Competitive developments in Layer 1 blockchains, partnerships, or DeFi protocol launches on Solana may attract or repel capital. Broader market conditions, Fed policy changes, and institutional adoption trends also influence whether traders expect Solana to move up or down by the resolution date.