TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 6PM ET on May 29, 2026. Currently on Polymarket, the leading outcome holds 50.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance for the specified hourly candle. Watch the market closely as the May 29 timestamp approaches, as intraday volatility and broader crypto market sentiment in the hours leading up to 6PM ET will be critical signals for how this hourly price movement resolves.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Solana's direction by May 29, 2026, but they differ from spot price forecasts because they embed time decay, funding costs, and event risk premiums. While crypto analysts and on-chain metrics may suggest directional bias, prediction markets price in the full distribution of outcomes and the cost of capital to hold positions. The current odds represent an equilibrium between bullish and bearish traders willing to stake capital. Comparing market odds to your own fundamental view or technical analysis can reveal mispricings and trading opportunities.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026 following the 6PM ET snapshot on May 29, 2026. The outcome is determined by Solana's spot price at that specific moment. Traders should note the exact timestamp and timezone to avoid confusion. Resolution occurs after the snapshot is finalized and verified, at which point one outcome is declared correct and shares settle accordingly. Ensure you understand the precise price source and timing rules before the event window closes, as late trades may not be accepted.
Solana's price direction by May 29 could be influenced by network upgrades, validator performance, developer adoption announcements, and macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite for altcoins. Regulatory news, major exchange listings or delistings, and shifts in Bitcoin dominance often correlate with SOL moves. On-chain metrics such as active addresses, transaction volume, and staking changes may signal fundamental strength or weakness. Broader crypto sentiment, Federal Reserve policy, and institutional inflows into Solana-based projects can also drive volatility. Monitor ecosystem developments and macro catalysts closely as the event date approaches.