TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning May 29, 2026 at 4AM ET. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.5%. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance for that specific hourly candle, with the outcome depending on whether the close price meets or exceeds the open price at the May 29, 4AM ET timestamp.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect collective trader expectations about SOL's price direction at the May 29, 4AM ET snapshot. These odds can be compared to analyst forecasts, on-chain sentiment indicators, and technical analysis from crypto research firms to gauge whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish bias. If prediction odds diverge significantly from consensus analyst views, it may signal either informed market positioning or an opportunity for contrarian traders. Monitoring both sources helps contextualize whether the market is pricing in known catalysts or overlooking emerging risks.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4AM ET event is priced as a binary outcome contract reflecting the probability of SOL moving up or down by the specified deadline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the price of each share directly indicating the market's implied probability. Liquidity and trading volume on this contract determine how efficiently prices adjust to new information. As the May 29, 4AM ET snapshot approaches, prices typically tighten and volatility may increase, reflecting reduced uncertainty and final positioning by market participants.
The Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4AM ET market resolves on May 29, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing SOL's price at the specified 4AM ET snapshot against a reference baseline. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once the snapshot price is confirmed and the market settles on Polymarket. Participants should verify the exact price source and timing rules before trading to ensure alignment with their expectations.
Several catalysts could influence SOL's price direction into May 29, 4AM ET, including Solana network upgrades, ecosystem developments, regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements, macroeconomic data releases, and shifts in risk appetite. On-chain metrics such as validator activity, transaction volume, and developer activity may also signal strength or weakness. Geopolitical events, central bank policy shifts, and major institutional crypto news can create sudden volatility. Traders should monitor Solana's technical levels, funding rates on derivatives exchanges, and broader market sentiment to anticipate directional moves before the snapshot time.