TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET

Volume:
$2,380

Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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Volume
24h
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polymarket

Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 7AM ET on May 28, 2026. Currently on Polymarket, the leading outcome holds 100.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance for that specific hourly candle. Watch the market closely as May 28, 7AM ET approaches, as intraday volatility and broader crypto market conditions in the hours leading up to that candle open will likely influence final positioning.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about SOL's direction by May 28, 7AM ET, often diverging from current spot prices or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate news and volatility, prediction markets price in forward-looking expectations and tail risks. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus expectations may signal mispricing or emerging information.

On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each direction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell orders, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders adjust positions based on news, on-chain metrics, or macroeconomic shifts, the price discovery mechanism continuously updates the implied probability. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how efficiently prices adjust to new information.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by SOL's price action at the specified snapshot time of 7AM ET on May 28. The resolution process compares the closing price at that exact moment against the opening or reference price established at market creation. Once the snapshot is taken and verified, the market settles automatically, distributing winnings to holders of the correct outcome and returning capital accordingly.

Key catalysts for SOL price movement include Solana network upgrades, validator health reports, and ecosystem funding announcements. Broader crypto sentiment shifts driven by Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, Federal Reserve policy changes, or regulatory news can also sway the market. On-chain metrics such as active addresses, transaction volume, and staking participation may influence trader positioning. Macro events, exchange listings or delistings, and competitive developments in Layer-1 blockchains could trigger significant repricing before the May 28 snapshot.