TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 7AM ET on May 28, 2026. Currently on Polymarket, the leading outcome holds 100.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance for that specific hourly candle. Watch the market closely as May 28, 7AM ET approaches, as intraday volatility and broader crypto market conditions in the hours leading up to that candle open will likely influence final positioning.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each direction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell orders, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders adjust positions based on news, on-chain metrics, or macroeconomic shifts, the price discovery mechanism continuously updates the implied probability. Liquidity and trading volume on Polymarket determine how efficiently prices adjust to new information.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by SOL's price action at the specified snapshot time of 7AM ET on May 28. The resolution process compares the closing price at that exact moment against the opening or reference price established at market creation. Once the snapshot is taken and verified, the market settles automatically, distributing winnings to holders of the correct outcome and returning capital accordingly.
Key catalysts for SOL price movement include Solana network upgrades, validator health reports, and ecosystem funding announcements. Broader crypto sentiment shifts driven by Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, Federal Reserve policy changes, or regulatory news can also sway the market. On-chain metrics such as active addresses, transaction volume, and staking participation may influence trader positioning. Macro events, exchange listings or delistings, and competitive developments in Layer-1 blockchains could trigger significant repricing before the May 28 snapshot.