TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Solana's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 3PM ET on May 28, 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 50.5% on Polymarket, reflecting near-even odds. Resolution will be determined by the SOL/USDT price action on Binance during that specific hourly window. Watch for market-moving announcements or macroeconomic events in the hours leading up to the 3PM ET timestamp on May 28, 2026, as these could shift positioning ahead of the candle close.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about SOL's directional movement by May 28, 3PM ET. These odds often diverge from traditional spot price forecasts because they incorporate real-money incentives and active hedging. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than conventional indicators suggest. Traders use this gap to identify potential mispricings.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of capital allocated to each side. Prices move continuously as new trades execute, with the spread between bid and ask prices indicating liquidity depth. Traders profit if their chosen outcome occurs at the specified time, with payouts determined by the final settlement price relative to the opening reference level.
SOL price action leading up to May 28, 3PM ET could be influenced by Solana network developments, validator performance updates, or ecosystem announcements. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility, and macroeconomic events also drive sentiment. Regulatory news affecting Solana or the crypto sector, major partnership announcements, or changes in developer activity on the network may shift trader expectations. Technical levels and options expiry dates could create intraday momentum, while social media trends and whale transactions often precede sharp directional moves.