TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Volume:
$17,499

Solana Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 25, 2026

Closed: Mar 24, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$89 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$516
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$88 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$882
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$87 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$271
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$78 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$45
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$86 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$100 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,770
N/A
N/A
$2,770
Settled
No
kalshi

$90 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,521
N/A
N/A
$808
Settled
No
kalshi

$91 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,017
N/A
N/A
$610
Settled
No
kalshi

$93 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$779
N/A
N/A
$685
Settled
No
kalshi

$96 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$257
Settled
No
kalshi

$95 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$231
Settled
No
kalshi

$92 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$26
Settled
No
kalshi

$102 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

$104 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

$94 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

$107 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

$101 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

$103 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

$105 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

$99 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
No
kalshi

$97 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

$55 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$56 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana's price moves up or down during a specific 4-hour window on March 24, 2026 (4:00 PM–8:00 PM ET). Polymarket uses a simple price comparison at window start vs. end via Chainlink's SOL/USD feed, while Kalshi employs 73 separate binary contracts each tied to whether the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI exceeds a specific threshold at 5:00 PM EDT.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ different data sources (Chainlink vs. CF Benchmarks), different settlement times (8:00 PM ET vs. 5:00 PM EDT), and different measurement methodologies (point-in-time price vs. 60-second rolling average). This creates settlement value mismatch and prevents unified resolution.Hero tip: Treat these as two independent markets. Polymarket resolves on Chainlink's 8:00 PM SOL/USD price; Kalshi resolves on CF Benchmarks' 5:00 PM SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average. Price movements between 5:00 PM and 8:00 PM, or discrepancies between the two data sources, will cause divergent outcomes. Hedge accordingly.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary Up/Down resolution based on whether SOL/USD price at 8:00 PM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 4:00 PM ET. Uses Chainlink SOL/USD data stream as the sole authoritative source. Key Quote: 'This market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.'
  • Kalshi: 73 separate binary contracts, each resolving Yes if the simple 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5:00 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging from $47.99 to $121.99) at exactly 5:00 PM EDT on March 24, 2026. Uses CF Benchmarks as the data source and a rolling 60-second average methodology.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.