TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET
polymarket
kalshi

Solana Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET

Volume:
$26,815

Solana Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 20, 2026

Closed: Mar 19, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 19, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$89 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,620
N/A
N/A
$606
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$88 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$682
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$85 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$87 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$92 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$428
N/A
N/A
$402
Settled
No
kalshi

$90 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
$206
Settled
No
kalshi

$91 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$142
Settled
No
kalshi

$97 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

$93 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$94 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

$98 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$79 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$81 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$55 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$53 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$70 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$100 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$83 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$101 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$73 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$72 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana (SOL) price moves up or down on March 19, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle close vs. open comparison on Binance SOL/USDT, while Kalshi uses 60-second CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI price averages at multiple threshold levels.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use incompatible market structures (single binary vs. 72 threshold-based markets), different data sources (Binance SOL/USDT vs. CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI), and different measurement windows (1-hour candle open/close vs. 60-second average). These differences prevent direct cross-platform hedging or arbitrage.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket and Kalshi as separate bets. Polymarket is a directional call (Up or Down). Kalshi lets you bet on specific price levels. If you want directional exposure, use Polymarket. If you want granular price-level exposure, use Kalshi. Monitor both Binance and CF Benchmarks feeds separately—they may diverge at 5 PM ET on March 19.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Single binary market: resolves Up if Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle close >= open; otherwise Down. Resolution source is Binance official chart data for the 1H candle starting at 5 PM ET on March 19, 2026.
  • Kalshi: 72 independent binary markets, each tied to a specific price threshold. Each resolves Yes if CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second average (measured in the 60 seconds before 5 PM EDT) exceeds the threshold. Thresholds range from $52.9999 to $126.9999 in $1 increments.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.