TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - March 10, 5PM ET
kalshi
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 10, 5PM ET

Volume:
$12,302

$86 to 86.9999

 - Kalshi

$86 to 86.9999 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 10, 5:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$86 to 86.9999

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,856
N/A
N/A
$1,072
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$77 to 77.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,831
N/A
N/A
$261
Settled
No
kalshi

$85 to 85.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$589
N/A
N/A
$532
Settled
No
kalshi

$88 to 88.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
$507
Settled
No
kalshi

$87 to 87.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
$245
Settled
No
kalshi

$89 to 89.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
$253
Settled
No
kalshi

$83 to 83.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7
N/A
N/A
$7
Settled
No
kalshi

$84 to 84.9999

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - March 10, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$117 or above

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$95 to 95.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$59 to 59.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$70 to 70.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$69 to 69.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$72 to 72.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$57 to 57.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$74 to 74.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$75 to 75.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$82 to 82.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$44 to 44.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$52 to 52.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$43.9999 or below

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$51 to 51.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$50 to 50.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$54 to 54.9999

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 76

Description

This event group tracks whether Solana (SOL) price moves up or down on March 10, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Kalshi uses a granular CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI price-band approach (75 specific $1 price ranges), while Polymarket uses a simpler binary comparison of the Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle open versus close price.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket employ distinct data sources (CF Benchmarks vs. Binance), measurement methodologies (60-second average price band vs. 1-hour candle open/close comparison), and resolution triggers (absolute price level vs. directional movement). A single SOL price action on March 10 at 5 PM ET could resolve differently on each platform.Hero tip: Treat these as independent markets with different risk profiles. Kalshi's 75 YES outcomes cover nearly all price levels, making NO resolution rare; Polymarket's binary outcome depends purely on whether price moved up or stayed flat. Price volatility within the 1-hour candle does not affect Polymarket, but CF Benchmarks' 60-second snapshot is sensitive to exact timing. Verify both sources in real-time before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if CF Benchmarks SOLUSD_RTI 60-second simple average before 5 PM EDT falls into one of 75 predefined $1 price bands (e.g., $44–$44.9999, $45–$45.9999, ... $116–$116.9999), or is below $44, or above $116.9999. Effectively covers all prices >= $44 and below $44. Quote: 'simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves UP if Binance SOL/USDT 1-hour candle close price >= open price; resolves DOWN otherwise. Uses the 1H candle that begins at the specified time on March 10, 2026. Quote: 'close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.