TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 1:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's directional move, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot prices react to real-time supply and demand, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction about where Solana will trade by Jun 8, 2026. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or consensus analyst sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to other information sources.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down outcome for Solana by Jun 8, 2026. The price of each share reflects the market's collective probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, prices adjust in real time; higher trading volume typically narrows bid-ask spreads and increases price discovery accuracy. You can enter or exit positions at any time before market close by matching existing orders or posting your own.
Several catalysts could shift Solana's price direction before Jun 8, 2026: major network upgrades or technical announcements, changes in developer activity or ecosystem partnerships, broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and Bitcoin or Ethereum price moves, regulatory news affecting Solana or crypto generally, and macroeconomic events influencing risk appetite. On-chain metrics such as transaction volume, active addresses, and validator participation may also influence trader positioning. Monitoring Solana's social sentiment, developer updates, and correlation with major crypto assets can help you anticipate market moves.