TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 11:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on whether Solana will close up or down by Jun 9, 2026. These odds often diverge from spot price momentum because they incorporate longer-term sentiment, funding rates, and macro crypto conditions beyond immediate price action. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts, on-chain metrics, or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to technical expectations. Traders use this gap to identify potential mispricings or confirm directional conviction.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome, with traders buying or selling shares that resolve to $1 if their outcome occurs or $0 if it does not. The current market price reflects the collective belief of Polymarket participants about Solana's direction by the June 8 deadline. Prices move continuously as new trades execute, and the spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity depth. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads, making entry and exit more efficient for larger positions.
The Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10PM ET market resolves at Jun 9, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by comparing Solana's price at resolution time against a reference baseline established at market creation. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake. Resolution is automated and final once the deadline passes, so all positions must be settled according to the predetermined criteria.
Several catalysts could shift Solana's price direction before Jun 9, 2026. Major developments include network upgrades, validator performance issues, or ecosystem announcements from key projects building on Solana. Broader crypto market moves—such as Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, Federal Reserve policy shifts, or regulatory news—often drag altcoins along. On-chain metrics like transaction volume, active addresses, and staking participation can signal health or stress. Additionally, macro sentiment swings, exchange inflows or outflows, and competing layer-one narratives may influence trader positioning and ultimately Solana's directional outcome.