TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Solana's directional movement during the June 7 window, which may differ from current spot price levels or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Solana's immediate value, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment about volatility and direction over that specific four-hour period. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or historical volatility patterns can reveal whether the market is pricing in higher or lower directional conviction than consensus expectations for that timeframe.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary outcome: traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down move for Solana during the June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET window. Share prices range from 0 to 1 and reflect the market's collective probability estimate for each outcome. Liquidity and order book depth on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and deeper participation in the outcome.
The market resolves at Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by Solana's price movement during the specified four-hour window on June 7, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET. The outcome depends on whether the closing price at 12:00PM ET is higher or lower than the opening price at 8:00AM ET. This straightforward directional framework makes the event easy to track in real time and eliminates ambiguity about which outcome has occurred once the window closes.
Several catalysts could influence Solana's price during the June 7 window: major blockchain network updates or outages, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, shifts in Bitcoin or Ethereum price action, macroeconomic data releases, or significant news about Solana ecosystem projects. Trading volume spikes, liquidation cascades, or large institutional trades can also trigger volatility. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and broader crypto sentiment in the hours leading up to 8:00AM ET will help traders anticipate directional pressure on Solana during this critical four-hour period.