TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations about Solana's direction by June 7, 7PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot prices react to immediate market moves, prediction market odds incorporate longer-term sentiment and tail-risk pricing. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts, on-chain signals, or macro crypto sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to fundamental expectations. Divergences between prediction odds and spot-price technicals often signal opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7PM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome, with separate order books for the up and down sides. The price of each outcome reflects the probability traders assign to that result. Liquidity, recent trades, and order-book depth determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at any given moment. As the June 7, 7PM ET timestamp approaches, prices typically tighten and volatility may increase. Polymarket's AMM and order-book hybrid model allows both market and limit orders, giving traders flexibility in execution strategy.
Several catalysts could shift Solana's price direction before June 7, 7PM ET. Major developments include Solana network upgrades or security incidents, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements, regulatory announcements affecting layer-1 blockchains, and macroeconomic data impacting risk appetite. On-chain metrics such as validator activity, transaction volume, and developer activity may also influence trader positioning. Institutional inflows or outflows, competing layer-1 announcements, and changes in DeFi yields on Solana could drive volatility. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate odds movements on Polymarket.