TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus about Solana's direction by June 7, 6PM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. Market odds incorporate longer-term expectations and tail risks that intraday price action does not capture. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst sentiment or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in upcoming catalysts or regulatory developments. Traders often use this divergence to identify undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to fundamental signals.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6PM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy shares representing either outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate demand for each side; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome falls. Prices range from 0 to 1, with the sum always equaling 1. Traders profit by buying low-probability outcomes they believe will occur or selling high-probability outcomes they expect to fail, capturing the spread between entry and exit prices.
The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Solana's price action relative to the specified threshold. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are defined by the market terms on Polymarket. Traders should review the full market description before trading to understand precisely how the winner will be determined and any edge cases that might affect settlement.
Key catalysts for Solana price movement include network upgrades, validator performance reports, and ecosystem developments. Regulatory announcements affecting crypto broadly or Solana specifically can drive sharp moves. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and Bitcoin price action often correlate with altcoin direction. On-chain metrics such as active addresses, transaction volume, and developer activity may signal fundamental strength or weakness. Major exchange listings, partnership announcements, or security incidents could also influence trader positioning. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate probability shifts before market odds adjust.