TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Solana's price direction, which may differ from current spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Solana continuously based on real-time supply and demand, prediction markets isolate a specific outcome at a defined moment—June 7 at 10AM ET. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or community polling can reveal whether traders are more or less bullish than traditional market participants. This divergence often signals where informed traders see edge or disagreement with consensus views.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10AM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome pair: one share for "Up" and one for "Down." Each outcome's price reflects the probability traders assign to it, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As traders buy or sell shares, prices adjust via the automated market maker mechanism. The spread between up and down prices narrows as the event date approaches and more information becomes available, typically tightening volatility and improving price discovery closer to the June 7, 10AM ET snapshot time.
The Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10AM ET market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Solana's price at the specified 10AM ET snapshot on June 7 against a reference baseline. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated and final once the snapshot price is confirmed, ending all trading activity in this contract. Mark your calendar for Jun 7, 2026 to know when your position settles.
Several catalysts could shift odds for the Solana Up or Down - June 7, 10AM ET market before resolution. Solana network upgrades, validator performance announcements, or ecosystem partnership news may drive bullish sentiment. Conversely, security incidents, regulatory scrutiny, or broader crypto market downturns could pressure prices lower. Macroeconomic events—Federal Reserve decisions, inflation data, or risk-on/risk-off sentiment swings—often move all crypto assets together. Bitcoin and Ethereum price action frequently correlates with Solana moves. Additionally, on-chain activity metrics, developer activity, and competing layer-one announcements can influence trader positioning leading up to the June 7 snapshot.