TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for Solana's direction by Jun 6, 2026, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot prices react to immediate news and technical levels, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction and tail risks. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to sentiment from on-chain analysts or traditional crypto research can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to expert opinion. This gap often signals where informed traders see value.
On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions. As new information emerges about Solana's fundamentals or broader crypto market conditions, prices adjust to reflect updated expectations for the outcome at the specified resolution time.
The market resolves at Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by comparing Solana's price at the specified time against a reference level established at market creation. The outcome is binary: either Solana trades up or down relative to that baseline. Once the resolution time passes, the market settles based on verified price data, and winning positions are credited with their payout. Traders should confirm the exact reference price and data source used for settlement before entering positions.
Solana's price direction by Jun 6, 2026 could be influenced by network upgrades, validator performance announcements, or ecosystem developments. Broader crypto market catalysts—such as Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, regulatory news, or macroeconomic shifts—often drive altcoin sentiment. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity may signal fundamental strength or weakness. Additionally, changes in DeFi yields or competing Layer 1 narratives can shift capital flows. Traders should monitor Solana-specific news, technical support and resistance levels, and overall market risk appetite as the resolution date approaches.