TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Solana's direction relative to current spot prices. These odds often diverge from analyst forecasts or social media sentiment because prediction markets require real financial commitment. By comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to broader market sentiment from crypto analysts and on-chain data, you can identify whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish conviction than the wider community expects for this specific June 5 timeframe.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing "up" or "down" outcomes. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome, with total volume of $1,934 showing cumulative interest. As the June 5 resolution date approaches, prices typically tighten and volume may increase as traders hedge positions or take final directional bets on Solana's price movement.
Key catalysts for Solana's price direction include major blockchain developments, network upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, macroeconomic data releases, Bitcoin price movements (which often drive altcoin sentiment), and Solana-specific news such as ecosystem partnerships or validator updates. Technical levels, options expiry dates, and broader crypto market sentiment shifts can also influence price action. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics, developer activity, and institutional adoption signals leading up to the June 5 resolution window.