TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome: traders buy or sell shares representing either an up or down move by the resolution time. The price of each outcome share reflects the implied probability assigned by the market. Liquidity and order book depth on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at quoted prices. As new information about Solana's fundamentals, macro conditions, or technical levels emerges, market makers and traders adjust prices to reflect updated conviction. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects market uncertainty and available liquidity for this specific event.
The Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by whether Solana's price has moved up or down relative to a specified reference level. Resolution occurs automatically once the snapshot is taken and verified. Traders holding winning outcome shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact mechanics and data source used to determine the final price are specified in the market's terms. Early resolution is unlikely unless extraordinary circumstances arise, so traders should plan to hold positions through the full duration until the official resolution timestamp.
Several catalysts could shift odds for Solana's direction by Jun 4, 2026. Major blockchain upgrades, validator network changes, or ecosystem announcements directly impact Solana's technical narrative. Macro events—Federal Reserve policy shifts, Bitcoin volatility, or broader crypto sentiment swings—often drive altcoin prices. Regulatory news affecting Solana or the crypto sector can trigger sharp repricing. On-chain metrics like transaction volume, active addresses, or developer activity may signal strength or weakness. Competitive developments from other layer-one blockchains could redirect capital flows. Technical levels and support-resistance zones matter for short-term directional moves. Monitoring Solana's social sentiment, developer activity, and correlation with Bitcoin helps traders anticipate which way odds might shift before resolution.