TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET
polymarket

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET

Volume:
$1,735

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET

 - Polymarket

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 4:00 PM EST

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polymarket

Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective expectations about Solana's directional move, which may diverge from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot price shows where SOL trades now, the market odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macro crypto conditions through Jun 4, 2026. Comparing prediction odds to analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to traditional technical analysis.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate; a higher price signals stronger conviction that outcome will occur. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices update continuously as traders enter and exit positions. Volume and liquidity on this contract determine how easily traders can execute orders at posted prices.

Key catalysts for Solana price movement include major protocol updates, ecosystem announcements, regulatory developments affecting crypto markets, and shifts in broader Bitcoin or Ethereum sentiment. Macroeconomic data, Federal Reserve communications, and traditional market volatility can also influence SOL trading. On-chain metrics such as network activity, validator performance, and developer activity may signal fundamental strength or weakness. Traders should monitor Solana news, social sentiment, and crypto market structure leading up to June 4 at 3PM ET.