TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations about Solana's directional movement, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, on-chain metrics, and analyst forecasts. Prediction markets often incorporate broader sentiment and tail-risk pricing that spot markets may not fully capture. Compare the implied probability from Polymarket against consensus analyst price targets and Solana's recent volatility to identify potential divergence between speculative trading and fundamental expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12AM ET event is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). As traders place orders, prices adjust dynamically. You can enter or exit positions at any time before Jun 4, 2026, with your profit or loss determined by the final resolution price.
Key catalysts for Solana's price direction include major network upgrades, validator performance announcements, regulatory developments affecting crypto, and shifts in broader Bitcoin or Ethereum sentiment. Ecosystem news such as significant dApp launches or partnerships can drive bullish momentum. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy signals, and changes in risk appetite also influence altcoin prices. On-chain metrics like transaction volume and developer activity may signal strength or weakness. Monitor these factors to anticipate market moves before Jun 4, 2026.