TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 1:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations for SOL's direction, which may diverge from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price Solana's immediate value, prediction markets embed forward-looking sentiment about where the asset will trade by June 3, 12AM ET. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets or social media sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to conventional expectations. This gap often signals where informed traders see asymmetric opportunity.
On Polymarket, Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12AM ET is priced as a binary contract with two outcomes: SOL moves up or SOL moves down by the resolution deadline. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 1 (or 0% to 100%). The current market probability reflects the weighted consensus of all active traders. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at quoted prices.
The market resolves at Jun 3, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Solana's price action relative to the predefined reference level. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, locking in all gains and losses for this event. Participants should monitor Solana's price movement closely as the deadline approaches to understand their exposure.
Several catalysts could shift Solana's price direction before June 3, 12AM ET. Major network upgrades, validator performance issues, or ecosystem announcements can drive bullish momentum. Conversely, regulatory news, broader crypto market downturns, or technical breakdowns could pressure SOL lower. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy shifts, and Bitcoin volatility often ripple through altcoin markets. Developer activity, institutional adoption milestones, and competing blockchain launches also influence trader sentiment. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer updates, and market news is essential for anticipating directional moves.