TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Prediction market odds reflect traders' collective expectations about Solana's directional movement during that specific four-hour window. These odds may differ from broader spot price sentiment or analyst forecasts because they isolate a precise time window and require traders to commit capital. Spot price expectations typically focus on longer-term trends, while this market concentrates on intraday volatility and momentum. Comparing the prediction market's implied probability to your own view of near-term catalysts and technical levels can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution for that June 3rd session.
On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary outcome contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down move for Solana during the June 3rd window. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the probability implied by order flow and liquidity on the platform. As traders adjust their positions based on news, technical analysis, or broader market moves, the odds shift in real time. The current odds and 24-hour volume on Polymarket provide transparency into how active the market is and where the consensus leans.
The market resolves at Jun 3, 2026, after the four-hour trading window closes on June 3rd. Resolution is determined by comparing Solana's price at the end of the window to its price at the start of the 12:00PM ET session. The outcome hinges on whether the net movement is positive (up) or negative (down) during that specific timeframe. Once the window closes and the final price is recorded, the market settles automatically based on the directional result, and traders' winnings or losses are calculated accordingly.
Several catalysts could influence Solana's price during that four-hour window. Macro events such as Federal Reserve announcements, major cryptocurrency news, or Bitcoin volatility often drive altcoin sentiment. Solana-specific developments like network upgrades, ecosystem partnerships, or validator performance updates can shift trader confidence. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading. Broader market risk-on or risk-off sentiment, regulatory headlines, or large exchange inflows or outflows can also sway the direction. Monitoring these signals in the hours leading up to and during the June 3rd window will help inform your market view.